![]() ![]() capabilities, risking either security gaps or misallocated investment. Conversely, uncertainty about Russia’s nuclear forces increases the likelihood of “under- or over-developing” U.S. The constraints that arms control agreements – New START included –historically have placed on the number and capabilities of Russia’s nuclear forces also enhance the accuracy of long-term predictions and, according to Klotz, facilitate effective defense planning and investments in U.S. Doing so would require resolving complicated technical and legal matters that would take considerable time and effort that could, instead, be invested in negotiating a successor treaty while New START remains in force. #Mushroom wars 2 klotz verificationEmbassy in Moscow, Klotz expressed doubts about the ability to successfully implement comparable verification measures outside of a legally binding treaty. If the Treaty were to expire, so would its verification regime, which allows for extensive data exchanges and 18 intrusive on-site inspections per year, depriving the United States of valuable insights into Russia’s strategic nuclear forces beyond those provided by more traditional intelligence sources.ĭrawing from his experience as a Defense Attaché in the U.S. Klotz presented the results of an analysis he recently had published in a report for the RAND Corporation, which underlined the Treaty’s crucial role in enhancing transparency and reducing uncertainty about Russia’s nuclear capabilities and intentions – two aspects that explain the strong military support for New START since its signing in 2010. (According to public estimates, China has a considerably smaller nuclear arsenal than the United States and Russia.) ![]() Russian President Putin has repeatedly offered to extend the Treaty for an additional period of five years (as allowed by the Treaty), but the Trump Administration has indicated renewal is conditioned on the initiation of three-way discussions with China amid concerns about Beijing’s nuclear modernization program. and Russian strategic offensive arms (ICBMs, SLBMs and heavy bombers) and the warheads deployed on them and provides transparency through its robust verification regime. Set to expire in February 2021, New START places specific limits on the number of U.S. ![]() Stockpile Stewardship Program in ensuring the safety and reliability of U.S. Klotz highlighted the military benefits of extending New START during a recent NTI seminar, concluding that extension was “the most prudent course of action.” Regarding reports that the Trump administration is considering resuming nuclear explosive testing, Klotz characterized such a move as misguided and unnecessary due to the success of the U.S. Adding a critical perspective to the public discourse, former NNSA Administrator and Commander of Air Force Global Strike Command Lt. Whether to extend the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty – known as New START – has become one of the biggest debates in global nuclear policy. But without action, the last remaining major arms control agreement between the U.S. Originally from Hamburg, Germany, she recently graduated from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy and the College of Europe with a joint Master’s degree in Transatlantic Affairs.įor decades, bilateral arms control agreements have been instrumental in managing U.S.-Russian nuclear relations. ![]() This post was written by Patricia Jaworek, an intern with NTI’s Global Nuclear Policy Program. ![]()
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